Analysis: The language Bill Gates used about climate change during his visit to Australia was unlike any you hear from climate scientists or politicians. It was brutal
But greenhouse gas emissions are no longer the only problem.
This suggests temperatures will increase. When a new El Nino takes hold, that temperature increase will be even higher. “A classical, strong El Nino in 2023-24 could push global temperature to about 1.5 degrees higher relative to the 1880-1920 mean.” That catastrophe - and the record-breaking drought that preceded and accelerated it - followed an El Nino, the same weather pattern that helped makeFor eastern Australia this will mean a return to intensely hot and dry conditions, which are also likely to afflict Papua New Guinea and Indonesia, says Rice. In the Americas the pattern will likely spur floods and storms in the west from California down to Peru.
But breaching the barrier for even a year is likely to have a profound impact on the climate movement, some elements of which are embroiled in an internal dispute over how frank they should be in public about how far and fast heating is progressing.
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