Our Louisville vs. Notre Dame predictions expect the Irish to get a win in what should be a low-scoring affair.
Notre Dame can't afford a second loss after falling to Northern Illinois earlier this season. Against Louisville in Week 5, defense will be what keeps that loss away.
So, let’s focus on when the Cardinals have the ball. In two games against FBS competition this season, Louisville has turned 16 possessions into 11 quality drives, moments when it became statistically more likely than not that an average team would score. The Cardinals have not mounted a single quality drive without the benefit of at least one explosive play, enjoying 16 explosives on the season, 13 of which were passes.
Depriving Louisville of the big play will short-circuit its offense, and then the Irish offense should be able to do just enough, and a little more than that, to get the win.When Louisville falls short of the end zone on explosive plays, it' s nearly as likely to attempt a field goal as it is to actually cross the goal line . Note, the sentence there did not say “make” a field goal, but only attempt one.
After a brief Sunday drop to -4.5, this spread steadied at -6 on Monday and ticked upward to -6.5 on Wednesday afternoon.
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