Policy mistakes and economic vulnerabilities could disrupt markets.
The writer is chief economic strategist at Netwealth Are financial markets pricing sufficiently for future risks? Measures of financial market volatility suggest not. There are different measures of market volatility. Occasionally, they move the same way. This is often countercyclical, when the economic environment is stable and the political and policy outlook is clear and predictable. Shocks, likewise, can have a similar effect, usually triggering rising volatility.
Not least is how the juncture of political, geopolitical, policy and economic risks are likely to align. Take inflation. Inappropriate monetary policy and supply-side shocks led inflation to persist. A key driver of low global inflation over the past quarter of a century has been the combination of globalisation, technology, financialisation and a squeeze on how much of the national incomes goes to labour, or wage shares.
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