Dealmakers anticipate a rise in large-scale mergers and acquisitions under Donald Trump's presidency, fueled by optimism and a predicted reduction in regulatory scrutiny.
Dealmakers are betting that a pick-up in megamergers will gather pace under Donald Trump ’s presidency, after a rebound in larger deals helped push the value of takeovers back over the $3tn mark this year. The value of mergers and acquisitions globally is up 11 percent so far this year, an improvement from the doldrums of 2022 when dealmaking fell short of the $3tn threshold for the first time in a decade.
The value of so-called megadeals, worth more than $5bn, was up 19 percent year to date, boosting the figures, even as the total number of deals fell by a fifth to a nine-year low, according to data from the London Stock Exchange Group. “Especially for large-deal M&A, it’s mostly about CEO and board confidence levels and — putting your politics aside for a minute — there is a lot of optimism among CEOs for their businesses with the new administration,” said Tony Kim, co-president of investment banking at the boutique Centerview Partners.“I don’t think you can make a call on a gangbuster year in 2025 but certainly there are a lot of signs that point to that,” he added.Dealmakers hope that Trump’s return to the White House will mean less regulatory scrutiny of big mergers, after the sceptical stance taken by watchdogs during Joe Biden’s administration. “There’s an expectation that the regulatory framework will be less burdensome,” said Anu Aiyengar, global head of advisory and M&A for JPMorgan Chase.The largest mooted deal this year was the proposed $47bn purchase of Japan’s Seven & i, the company that owns 7-Eleven, by Canadian retailer Alimentation Couche-Tard. No deal has been reached, with the Japanese group also receiving a rival buyout offer from members of the founding family.Other top transactions include US lender Capital One’s agreement to buy rival Discover Financial for $35.3bn and the consumer giant Mars’s deal to acquire the Pringles and Pop-Tarts maker Kellanova for $35.9b
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