Get Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty predictions, picks, and odds for 5-29, plus WNBA best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
The Mercury are hurting and Jonquel Jones will capitalize in the paint. The Liberty are heavily favored against the depleted Phoenix squad, and it seems like Jones is undervalued in her points prop total.The New York Liberty have had an extended break to tighten the bolts after back-to-back losses as big favorites. That isn’t the case for the Phoenix Mercury, who are playing their second of back-to-back games on Wednesday after getting rolled by the Connecticut Sun last night, losing 70-47.
The shorthanded Phoenix frontcourt was bullied inside by the Sun’s forwards, allowing 36 of 70 points to come inside the paint. The New York Liberty have just as dangerous a forward corps and center Jonquel Jones is extra hungry after a pair of down games led to back-to-back losses. Along with getting pushed around in the paint, Phoenix is also getting battered on the boards. The Mercury have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game and rank fourth in second-chance points allowed . Jones leads the Liberty in second-chance points and towers over a thin Phoenix frontcourt underneath the hoop.
During the team’s 4-0 start to the season, the Liberty exploded out of the gates in the first quarter. Those opening efforts have cooled but with a few days to practice and Phoenix sucking wind, I like New York to start with a bang Wednesday.Before the Mercury faced the Sun on Tuesday, WNBA odds had a look-ahead line of New York -13 for the second of back-to-back games for Phoenix.My WNBA power ratings produced a spread of Liberty -11 before adjusting for injuries and the situational spot.
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