I am surprisingly bullish on this pitching matchup, and I think the windy conditions will contribute to a lower-scoring ball game.
against the divisional rival Braves, winning 8-7 thanks to a late-game rally emphasized by an eighth-inning home run from DJ Stewart.
Lopez began his career as a starter with the Nationals and White Sox, starting 65 games from 2018-19. His slider is also dependable, although he can sometimes lose it into the dirt, leading to a relatively high walk rate . His first start this year was interesting. He dialed back the velo on his fastball but still managed to strike out five White Sox over six innings, allowing only one run on four hits and two walks.
Houser is a pitch-to-contact sinkerballer who doesn’t have the stuff to make him a front-end rotation piece. But he’ll always force enough ground-balls to keep him afloat – he’s above 50% for his career.Lopez should hang with the Mets, who have struggled in the early going, posting an 81 wRC+ in the early season. They profile better against righties but struggle against fastball-slider mixes, posting -15.9 weighted runs created against the mix last year.
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