Get New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs predictions, picks, and odds for 6-22, plus MLB best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
Jameson Taillon's splits could have him in trouble at Wrigley this afternoon, where conditions will be ripe for a scoring explosion. Find out why our MLB picks are fading the Cubs starter against the Mets.Strong winds and hot temps are in the forecast at the Friendly Confines, and the 12-run total on the betting boards should make things interesting this afternoon for home starter Jameson Taillon, where my Mets vs. Cubs prediction focuses.
Taillon takes the bump today against a red-hot Mets offense that scored 11 runs on Friday night and 46 runs across their last five, and Taillon getting his usual six free outs might be difficult. The 32-year-old righty has lost velocity on his four-seam fastball; it’s down 1.5 mph from one season ago, which forces Taillon to throw more sweepers to righties and more benders to lefties. Those pitches have earned him a shade over seven strikeouts at Wrigley, but he likely won’t have that much success striking out the Mets today.
The Mets bats have boomed across the past 14 days; they boast a .320 BABIP with a wRC+ of 131, and their overall 20% strikeout and 8.9% walk rates during that 14-day period are identical to their season averages against righties. Finally, Taillon has failed to clear 4.5 strikeouts in seven of his past 10 starts. He particularly has trouble striking out righties at the Friendly Confines , and he’s going to see a minimum of five in this Mets lineup. Righties clock Taillon for a .299 batting average, and their collective .347 BABIP suggests these hitters have been unlucky. New York doesn’t strike out much against righty starters and will probably chase Taillon before he reaches five whiffs.
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