Manny Machado is set up for success tonight as the Padres welcome the Mets to Petco Park, per our MLB betting picks.
Two teams looking to move up the standings in their respective divisions meet on Friday as the New York Mets visit the San Diego Padres .
While I’m not challenging that assumption and I’m not playing the Over, I do want to take a closer look at the starting pitchers to determine if they warrant a lowered total.One thing that stands out about Blackburn’s profile is he has severe reverse splits. He’s held lefties to a .201 BA and .253 wOBA but has been torched by righties .
He’s also seen a run of poor performances away from home as his 5.59 ERA and 5.08 FIP on the road pale in comparison to his home numbers . , who has a long track record of hitting well against pitchers of either handedness. He has solid xBA and xSLG numbers against the sinker, cutter, and four-seamer — pitches that Blackburn throws 18-21 percent of the time, respectively, against righties without much success.
If Musgrove truly is back to normal, then San Diego has an advantage at starting pitcher and in the lineup. Considering the Padres also have the league’s best FIP and xFIP out of the bullpen in August, it’s hard not to back them in this spot. Both starting pitchers have been winners this year — Blackburn’s teams have won nine of his 13 starts while the Padres are 5-3 in Musgrove’s last eight starts.
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