Tonight's Mets vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks expect runs aplenty with a pair of pitchers who don't match up well with the opposing offense.
Jose Quintana is simply not as effective as he once was, as the Mets are more or less using him as a warm body every fifth day. This bodes poorly against the Yankees. Luis Gil is better but he has his warts, too, and it should be enough for the Over.
Both teams came out of the All-Star break by splitting their four-game series against Florida teams. Today's Mets vs. Yankees predictions are largely avoiding the moneyline, and instead approaching the total.I project 9.2 runs tonight, and I'm happily grabbing the Over 8.5. It should be a lovely, warm evening in Yankee Stadium, with the wind blowing slightly out. That's an excellent place to start creating an environment for scoring runs. But more than that is the matchup at hand.
Gil's most significant issues are relatively straightforward: He walks too many batters and opponents barrel up the ball too often against him when he finds the zone. The Mets favor him well in each of those metrics, particularly in barrel rate, where they rank fifth. There's a direct path to plenty of runs this evening.It's pretty simple at this point. If the Yankees face left-handed pitchers who have issues giving up the hard-hit ball, I'm betting on Aaron Judge.
There's been little movement on the opening lines, with both the run line and moneyline prices staying within two cents of the opening numbers.Opt-in place a bet of $5+ on any MLB market until July 30 — and get a free subscription to MLB.TV until September 1!
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