Michigan-Penn State, Ole Miss-Georgia, first-year coaches, picks, more

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 Michigan-Penn State, Ole Miss-Georgia, first-year coaches, picks, more
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If the Nittany Lions and Rebels want to keep slim playoff hopes alive, they have to win this weekend. We look at the matchups and debate Brohm and Louisville's success versus Deion Sanders and Colorado's.

Georgia Bulldogs, it hasn't faced any sort of challenge on the field. The Wolverines have allowed more than 10 points just twice this season, and they have scored more than 30 points in every game. While Penn State has already lost to the No. 1, this game has the highest adjust playoff leverage of any game remaining this season.

Penn State is plus-16 in turnover margin, while Michigan is plus-9 and tied for sixth. The key will be whether Michigan can get ahead and possibly force Allar to take some more chances with his throws. He is 122nd nationally in air yards per attempt and tied for 99th in completions of 20 yards or longer .The Lions might try to ride their defense and run game and grind out a low-scoring win, but it's hard to see them winning without calling some shot plays for Allar -- and hitting on them.

"Really important because, defensively, if there's only one guy with production, that can be fairly easy to take away," Franklin said."When there's multiple guys you have to deal with, including the tight ends, that's when you become a more effective offense, you become a more explosive offense and you become a little bit more challenging to defend.

"If you don't get pressure on Dart, they're good," an SEC West assistant told me."If you get pressure on Dart, you can hurt him."It isn't just Dart, though, that Georgia's defense has to worry about, though one coach called him"a creator, athletic enough to extend plays and convert with his legs."is averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Ole Miss thrives on horizontal stretch in the passing game, and that frees these guys up.

's Dana Holgorsen -- the coaching market is shaping up to be much lighter than normal. But unlike other hot spots, Mississippi State isn't as financially hamstrung if it wants to move on from Zach Arnett after only one year. Would it be harsh? Sure. Arnett is a good coach who took over a difficult situation after the death of Mike Leach in December. But the Bulldogs need a win over Texas A&M or Ole Miss to avoid their worst SEC record since 2006.

The original proposal included the six highest-ranked conference champions, plus the next six highest-ranked teams. If the Pac-12 dissolves or doesn't hold Power 5 status, there is strong support to change the model to 5-plus-7, but it has to be unanimous at the presidential level.

One CFP source said it will be an"elephant in the room" and that they would be surprised if anyone brought it up, allowing Big Ten commissioner Tony Petitti some space on the issue.• SMU isn't undefeated like James Madison and Liberty or ranked like Tulane, but the Mustangs are looking more like the best team outside of a power conference. Coach Rhett Lashlee's team is No.

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