Isaac Chotiner interviews Nate Cohn, who reflects on the unique challenges facing the President, whether it’s still possible for him to launch a comeback, and what the polls can tell us, if anything, about the electability of other Democratic Presidential candidates.
To talk about the data and Biden’s future, I spoke by phone with Nate Cohn, the Times’ chief political analyst, who also oversees its polling, and who agreed to talk despite being on paternity leave.
Then again, there’s Harry Truman, who again is another example of someone who did not win a previous election but ultimately overcame a polling deficit. That’s also an example of someone who needs the polling to be wrong for them to ultimately prevail. Biden’s situation does feel unique, and maybe this just highlights the degree—which, again, we have to speculate on—to which age is the distinguishing factor here.
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