'The fundamental difference between crisis management and collective defense is this: It is not we but our adversary who determines the timeline,' says Admiral Rob Bauer, one of NATO's top military officials.
will step back to the future at its Vilnius summit in July, with leaders set to approve thousands of pages of secret military plans that will detail for the first time since the Cold War how the alliance would respond to a Russian attack.
“The fundamental difference between crisis management and collective defense is this: It is not we but our adversary who determines the timeline,” said Admiral Rob Bauer, one of NATO’s top military officials. “We have to prepare for the fact that conflict can present itself at any time.” This formalizes a process triggered by Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, which prompted Western allies for the first time to deploy combat troops to the east, with Britain, Canada and Germany each taking the lead in one of the Baltic states.But while many features resemble NATO’s military line-up before 1990, some crucial factors have changed for an alliance that has since then expanded some 1,000 kilometers to the east and grown from around a dozen to 31 members.
At the same time, the internet, drones, hypersonic weapons, and a rapid flow of information present new challenges. “The more troops you are massing up on the border, it’s like having a hammer. At some point, you want to find a nail,” warned Cottereau. “If the Russians are massing troops on the border that will make us nervous, if we are massing troops on the border that will make them nervous.”Still, it will be a huge task to drastically improve readiness. NATO agreed in 2022 to put 300,000 troops on high alert, up from 40,000 in the past.
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