March Madness picks, odds, and predictions for Nevada Wolf Pack vs Dayton Flyers. March Madness free picks and best bet analysis.
The Dayton Flyers are tepid underdogs vs. the Nevada Wolf Pack, who might be better-suited to playing at high altitude in Salt Lake City. But Jason Logan's college basketball picks believe the Flyers hold the clear matchup advantage. for this Round of 64 matchup, hoops bettors are in for a good one. Nevada is a slight favorite in Salt Lake City, where it will own an edge in altitude against its Ohio opponent.
Dayton plays one of the most disciplined defenses in the country, getting whistled for just 13.4 personal fouls per contest — fifth-fewest. The Flyers send opponents to the foul line fewer than 13 times an outing, which means Nevada could be missing a good chunk of its scoring on Thursday. The Wolf Pack struggle to protect the paint and allow foes to finish at the rim and in the post-up at an average of 1.17 and 0.82 points per play, which ranks 262nd and 240th, respectively, according to ShotQualityBets.
Blackshear is reliant on scoring points from the foul line but won’t be able to sucker the Flyers into fouls at his normal rate. He’s not a good enough shooter to make up for that missing piece.
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