New census data analysis suggests Pennsylvania advantage for Trump and GOP in 2024

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New census data analysis suggests Pennsylvania advantage for Trump and GOP in 2024
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An analysis of newly released county-level census data in Pennsylvania suggests Biden could be in trouble as his bases of support lose population.

Recent migration out of Pennsylvania and between its counties could present an even closer 2024 matchup between President Biden and former President Trump in the critical battleground state than in 2020, an analysis of new census data shows.

In the 2020 presidential election, Biden defeated Trump by under 100,000 votes, winning the state 50% to 48.8%. Going into 2024, the Keystone State is expected to play a similarly pivotal role, especially given its high percentage of manufacturing workers – a demographic that both campaigns have made a point of lobbying in the early months of the election year.

Overall, Pennsylvania saw its population decline since 2020, with a Census Bureau press release even highlighting Philadelphia County as one of the largest declining counties in the U.S. 'The biggest losses at the county level were in Pittsburgh and Allegheny County and Philadelphia. And those are two of the big centers of Biden's support,' Yost told Fox News Digital in an interview.

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