Austin Mock's NFL model projects the points differential and point totals for every NFL Week 10 game.
Here are my game projections for the ’s Week 10. If you’re new to this series, I project the score for every game and the chance of victory for every team using my NFL betting model. The model phases out older data and uses data from this year as the season progresses. My NFL betting model takes in a flurry of different metrics and creates a projection for each team. Those projections are then used to project a spread and total for each game.
is the projected combined point total with the BetMGM total listed as of publish time to the right of that number. All odds from If any injury report news on Friday adjusts my model, we will update the table and note it in this section. Team xMOV BETMGM Line xTOTAL BETMGM TOTAL xWIN -1.5 -1.5 52.9% 42.5 43 47.1% 39 38 30.3% -6 -6.5 69.7% 47.5 47 29.1% -6.5 -6.5 70.9% -3 -3 59.3% 44.5 45 40.7% -2.5 -3 55.3% 39 41 44.7% 37.5 39 40.7% -3 -3 59.3% 39.5 39.5 49.2% -0.5 -1 50.8% -1 -1.5 51.5% 43 43.
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