What the analytics predict for Oregon vs. Oregon State in this Week 3 college football game.
Civil War is back on this weekend but as a non-conference game after realignment, as No. 9 ranked and Big Ten contender Oregon squares off against Oregon State, one of two remaining Pac-12 teams, in college football's Week 3 action on Saturday.
A preseason contender for the Big Ten title, Oregon has played under expectations, and although perfect through two games, those wins came by a combined 13 points with questions on both lines of scrimmage, especially after a close game at home against Boise State. SP+ predicts that Oregon will defeat Oregon State by a projected score of 36 to 23 and to win the game by an expected 13.4 points.SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
Oregon is projected to win the game outright in 68.7 percent of the computer's updated simulations, while Oregon State comes out the expected winner in the remaining 31.3 percent of sims.
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