Let’s head into the weekend with a couple of attractive plus-money player props from DraftKings. Andrew Heaney under 4.5 K (+120) This will be the third time
Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 total bases This will be the third time Andrew Heaney has seen the Astros this season. He struck out two in his first meeting and just one in his second and in those games, the Astros were still playing Jose Abreu.
Yes, Heaney has had two good starts in a row, but Houston is especially dominant vs. left-handed pitching. As a team, the Astros have the league’s lowest K-rate vs. southpaws at just 17%. Specifically, both Altuve and Alvarez have great career numbers vs. Heaney. In 41 career at-bats, Altuve is hitting .317 with only five strikeouts vs. Heaney. In 18 career at-bats, Alvarez is hitting .444 with a home run, two extra-base hits, and four strikeouts. Alvarez is expected to be back tonight.
Heaney’s 44.7% fly ball rate and bottom 32nd percentile hard-hit rate allowed could get him into trouble quickly vs. a Houston team hitting well right now. Even though Heaney is striking batters out at a rate of more than nine per nine this season, I’ll take the chance he doesn’t make it far enough into this game to get to five.Schwarber has been punishing lefties this season with a .338 batting average and eight home runs. I’ll take plus money for him to tally a couple vs.
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