Exclusive polling for the Herald shows that while Labor is on track to win on Saturday, it may need the backing of crossbench MPs to form government.
Premier Dominic Perrottet has clawed back ground in the final days before Saturday’s election, but NSW Labor is still favoured to win government with the support of key crossbenchers.
However, with the results indicating a 4.5 per cent swing, Labor is on track to return to power for the first time in 12 years, but will probably need the backing of crossbench MPs to form government.shows 39 per cent of voters believe Labor will win the election, while 27 per cent think the Coalition will prevail. Some 34 per cent are undecided.
“While Labor have been ahead since Gladys Berejiklian resigned, this election has always been difficult to call because voters have been so disengaged and haven’t really been able to judge what are two quite new leaders to them,” Reed said.“The Coalition actually have to win seats to regain a majority, so this swing against them kiboshes any hope they might have of achieving that. Instead, the 4.
Liberal strategists in NSW are increasingly confident that they will be able to stave off a teal wave, however Lane Cove, held by the Planning Minister Anthony Roberts, is seen as the most at-risk. Independent Victoria Davidson is contesting the seat which is on a margin of 14.7 per cent. Other key independents, including Sydney MP Alex Greenwich and Lake Macquarie MP Greg Piper, have said they will not back Labor unless it agrees to implement a mandatory cashless gaming card.“In a hung parliament scenario, a lot will depend on how many seats change hands and the make-up of the crossbench,” Reed said.
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