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A plurality of U.S. adults, as well as a majority of Republicans, say President Joe Biden’s exit from the presidential race makes President Donald Trump “more likely” to win, a recent survey from YouGov found.respondents, “What impact do you think Joe Biden’s decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the 2024 presidential election?”
Among Republicans, specifically, most — 53 percent — expressed confidence that Biden’s absence from the Democrat ticket will make it “more likely” for Trump to win. Another 24 percent of Republicans said it will have no impact on Trump’s chances, and 15 percent remain unsure. Only eight percent believe it makes it “less likely” that Trump would emerge as the victor.
Less than a majority, 37 percent, of Democrats say Biden’s absence from the ticket makes it less likely that Trump will win, but 26 percent remain unsure and 22 percent believe it makes it more likely that Trump will have a victory in November. Another 15 percent said it will have no impact.
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