Annual deaths from the disease are projected to increase by 85 to almost 700,000 over the same timeframe, researchers say.
The data suggests annual prostate cancer cases are projected to rise from 1.4 million in 2020 to 2.9 million in 2040.
The Lancet Commission on prostate cancer argues that the informed choice programme for prostate cancer screening with testing, which is common in high-income countries , may lead to over-testing and unnecessary treatment in older men, and under-testing in high-risk younger men.The commission also calls for urgent programmes to raise awareness of prostate cancer and for improvements in early diagnosis and treatment in LMICs.
With an annual 1% increase in cases, the predicted number would be 91,544 in 2040, a 61% increase over 20 years. The current approach to prostate cancer diagnosis in the UK and many other HICs relies on “informed choice” PSA testing. This includes those with a family history of the disease, those of African origin and those carrying the BRCA2 mutation.
“Pop-up clinics and mobile testing offer cost-effective solutions that combine health checks and education.”
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