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Since Biden turned in the worst debate performance of any candidate in recent memory at last week’s CNN debate, the Trump campaign and even Trump himself have proved content with watching their political rivals panic and wonder if their nominee is fit to win the presidential election.
Conventional wisdom would say you should never interrupt your enemy when he is hurting himself, and that is how the Trump campaign has operated to this point. But such a strategy could prove to be a double-edged sword if the focus on Biden becomes so intense that he withdraws from the race in favor of another candidate.
Now Trump should be considered the favorite to win the election, regardless of who the Democratic Party nominates. His polling lead over Biden is substantial at this point, and hypothetical polling against potential replacement candidates is only marginally better for Democrats. Still, Trump and the Republican Party want to face off against Biden, not simply because it will afford voters the chance to redo the 2020 election but because he is by far the weakest candidate the party could select. His approval ratings are mired in the mid-30s, and typically safe Democratic states such as Virginia and Minnesota are suddenly competitive.This is where the Trump campaign’s radio silence could be too smart.
At some point, Biden will show his senility again, and the panic around the president’s ability to win the election among the Democratic Party will once again bubble over. But to avoid Biden being replaced, Trump may want to think about turning the news cycle back on himself.
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