The college football season is just a few weeks away. ESPN FPI cemented its preseason predictions for every game on the 2024 BYU football schedule. FPI's projec
The college football season is just a few weeks away. ESPN FPI cemented its preseason predictions for every game on the 2024 BYU football schedule. FPI's projected record for the Cougars is 4.8-7.2 in 2024, largely in line with the Vegas expectations for BYU. Using FPI predictions, we calculated the most likely win totals for BYU in 2024.Using FPI win probabilities, five wins is the most likely outcome for BYU in 2024 :FPI is not high on the 2024 BYU football team.
According to FPI, there is a 66% chance that BYU will finish the regular season with somewhere between 4-6 wins. Using those same numbers, it's more likely that BYU will finish with less than four wins than it is that BYU will finish with seven or more wins. FPI gives BYU a 13% chance to finish with seven or more wins and a 21% chance to finish with three or fewer wins.
It's important to know that these numbers are calculated using individual win probabilities for every game. Those win probabilities will change as the season progresses. It happens every year since prior year performance is not a great indication or future performance in college football. Since BYU was bad by nearly every efficiency metric last season, the models expect similar outputs from BYU in 2024.
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