Republican House majority will stay tight with special elections to replace fleeing members months away

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Republican House majority will stay tight with special elections to replace fleeing members months away
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Rep. Ken Buck's announcement that he will be leaving Congress at the end of next week has taken a narrow GOP House majority and put it on life support.

With Buck’s exit, Republicans will only maintain a 218-213 majority after next week, which is expected to shrink to a 218-214 majority when a special election is held to fill a vacant Democratic seat at the end of April. As Republicans look to avoid losing their thin House majority, here is when the GOP can expect reinforcements to bring their majority back from the brink.The former House speaker left Congress on Dec. 31, 2023, less than three months after being ousted from the speakership.

The seat Johnson walked away from, Ohio’s 6th Congressional District, is rated “solid Republican” by the, with a partisan voting index of Republican +16, meaning it is highly unlikely to flip to a Democrat.Rep. Ken Buck’s seat Buck’s sudden resignation came after he had announced he would not seek another term in November, and it moves up on the calendar when he will be replaced in Congress.Gov. Jared Polis said on Tuesday he would set the special election “to align with Colorado’s primary on June 25,” though specific dates have not been issued by the governor.

Colorado law requires that a special election must occur no less than 85 days and no more than 100 days after the seat is left vacant, March 22. That timeline means the primary must occur between June 15 and June 30.

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