Future COVID-19 variants and outbreaks would be best managed by ongoing vaccination and the quicker scaling up of restrictions, according to new research published in the Lancet Regional Health — Western Pacific journal.
The researchers ranked the responses on four evenly weighted categories — cost effectiveness to the health system, cost effectiveness with a GDP perspective, number of deaths and days exceeding hospital occupancy thresholds.two further vaccine doses for the over 30s and the promotion of increased mask-wearing, but not the government provision of respirator masks.
As a mathematician, Dr Wood said he would have liked to have seen more details in the paper on the agent model used. UNSW's Dr Wood said at the time the work was originally done, "it was more of an open question as to how much we would intervene further in COVID epidemics with non-vaccine, non-antiviral type interventions".
But he said the models showed the importance of increasing health measures "if we were unlucky enough to get a virus or variant that comes along that's more virulent than Omicron".
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