Rule and Lundin: Massive US Debt Creates 'Generational Opportunity' for Gold Investors

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Rule and Lundin: Massive US Debt Creates 'Generational Opportunity' for Gold Investors
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Veteran investors Rick Rule and Brien Lundin predict a surge in gold prices due to the US's staggering debt burden and the Federal Reserve's limited ability to raise interest rates. They both believe this creates a unique opportunity for investors to make significant gains in the coming years.

Veteran investor Rick Rule of Rule Investment Media told delegates at the Metals Investor Forum in Vancouver, Canada, that investors have no excuse not to make a million dollars in the coming years. Rule highlighted the combination of a positive outlook for metals prices and company valuations currently in the doldrums as the driving force behind this prediction.

Gold stocks, he noted, are relatively cheap compared to the price of gold, and their attractiveness increases as the gold price rises. Rule explained that the mathematics surrounding US debt, interest rates, and inflation paint a bright future for gold investors. According to a BofA estimate, the interest payments on US government debt, which stands at US$36 trillion, add US$1 trillion worth of debt to its total balance every 100 days. Off-US government balance sheet liabilities exceed US$100 trillion. This massive debt burden, Rule argued, will significantly erode the purchasing power of the US dollar, diminishing the value of people's savings.JP Morgan Chase reported that gold's share of the investment market in the US is currently just 0.5%. Rule pointed out that if we see a reversion to the mean, gold demand could quadruple to about 2%. The potential impact on gold's price in such a scenario would be substantial. Brien Lundin, editor of The Gold Letter, echoed Rule's sentiments, stating that the level of US debt prevents the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates as aggressively as it might desire. Lundin emphasized that US debt is currently 122.8% of GDP, making it impossible for the Fed to raise rates above the rate of inflation without triggering a collapse. He likened this situation to a 'brick wall' blocking the Fed's actions. Lundin also highlighted the impending refinancing of approximately US$9.5 trillion in debt due in 2025, predicting that this will become increasingly problematic this year. He characterized this as a 'generational opportunity' for investors, with 2025 starting off promisingly. Lundin further stated that technical analysis suggests gold has a good chance of challenging previous highs and breaking through resistance at US$2,800 per ounce. However, he cautioned that the recent surge in open interest on Comex indicates a volatile and potentially speculative market environment

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Finance Commodities US Economy Gold Investing US Debt Inflation Interest Rates Federal Reserve Rick Rule Brien Lundin Metals Investor Forum

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