Russia may be forced on to the defensive as Ukraine launches a spring assault with the help of Western tanks, a defence expert has said
expected by the end of March. Norway and Canada have also announced sending tanks from their stocks.
The Russian president with his chief of general staff. Experts say Russia needs a fresh partial mobilisation in order to launch a new offensive on Ukraine Michael John Williams, a non-resident senior fellow in the Transatlantic Security Initiative and director of the international relations programme at Syracuse University, writing forthink-tank on Wednesday, said that Ukraine’s allies should up their tanks numbers, particularly of the Leopard 2 —in anticipation that Kyiv will need to launch a large-scale counter offensive against Russia.
Manpower is also expected to be a decisive factor in the fresh offensive. On Sunday, Norway’s army chief said Russia had lost a significant number of soldiers,have been killed or wounded in Ukraine since February 2022. Some predict Moscow will have to conduct a fresh mobilisation effort to achieve the three-to-one ratio military doctrines suggest are necessary for an attacking force, but so far this has not happened.
“I think that if Russia was planning a major offensive, the ‘half-million strong mobilisation’ some have been predicting would have been announced – to give time for conscripts to be identified, organised, assigned, trained and deployed to Ukraine by the spring,” says Dr Smith.
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