In the past two weeks our analysis of satellite data has detected 907 fires likely to be war-related in Russian-held territory in Ukraine. That’s more than four times as many as in the two weeks before
has detected 907 fires likely to be war-related in Russian-held territory in Ukraine. That’s more than four times as many as in the two weeks before . From Kharkiv to Kherson activity along the frontline, and apparent strikes on the Russian rear, are picking up. The last time something like this happened, last autumn, it preceded Ukraine’s impressive gains in the south.
The latest reading, on May 25th, shows a spike in high-temperature events in Russian-held areas . Whether this really is the beginning of the much-touted counter-offensive is not easy to say. Such an operation is only readily observed if it succeeds, or fails spectacularly. Our data do not yet suggest a large Ukrainian advance, or gains of territory. Rather, they are consistent with a force laying the groundwork for that to happen.
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