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Please read our Please read ourFirst things first, Saturday’s loss against Brighton was easily our worst result of the season.
Hot takes thrown around all over the place, from the back pages to social media, including but not limited to; Callum Wilson should have been sold in January 2023 overTo be honest you can find probably a dozen or more of these “measured” opinions knocking around and it makes you wonder how these individuals exist in their day to day lives?Joking aside, people are completely right to feel upset when the team comes up short, I for one was still angry about the result on Monday.
I know, I know… the only statistic that really matters is the final score, but there is value in the numbers behind the performances and Newcastle United have been trending in the right direction over the past few games. What is immediately noticeable when looking at the Newcastle United numbers for the past five games, is that the Brighton game represented statistical highs in every category apart from xG , however, the game againstdid feature a penalty which accounts for about 0.76 xG. Against Brighton we fashioned more shots , had more chances inside the box than any other game this season, and had almost Man City levels of touches in the opposition box.
Many people talk about xG when it comes to measuring a team’s attacking output but one drawback of xG is that it is a cumulative stat. A team can hog possession and rack up a number of speculative efforts from range but never truly create a big chance to score, while their opponent can play defensively sound and wait for their moment to create a big chance from a counter-attack or a set piece. Think anyone playing against Spurs for an example.
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