Keir Starmer faces a critical juncture as the UK grapples with the escalating US trade war and its impact on the EU. The article analyzes Starmer's diplomatic maneuvering between the US and the EU, highlighting the challenges and opportunities presented by the volatile global trade landscape.
In the cat’s cradle of choices involving the EU and trade-offs over tariffs with the US, Starmer will need to remain on the front foot Keir Starmer is “dancing between elephants,” to wield a metaphor doing the rounds among the foreign office and trade sherpa teams, as he prepares for a month which will be consequential for the UK – and for the PM’s watery leadership.
The second is to think that it makes any difference to the US to point out that these will likely damage global demand and could fuel inflation. Deaf ears are being turned to the warnings of free traders. They need to get used to playing a losing hand as skilfully as possible.
Britain may also avoid direct tariffs, because it remains in a deficit with the US. This is boggy numerical territory, however – a lot depends on how the nature of that deficit is calculated between goods and services, and the UK seesaws between debts and surpluses. Yet no member of the Meloni government attended. The political mood of internal preoccupation in much of continental Europe means that Starmer will have to offer concrete concessions to make any real-world “reset” be more than words on paper.
One of the most persistent criticisms is that he tends to choose the middle ground or fudge awkward choices – but in these matters, leadership will ultimately mean showing that you want one thing more than any other. So his aim needs to be to manage the difference, but not just to split the middle.
TRADE RELATIONS EU US TARIFFS KEIR STARMER BRITISH POLITICS
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