It comes after Trump's felony conviction.
There’s been a massive shift among the all-important independent voters when it comes to the rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump., Biden leads Trump among independent voters by two percentage points — 50% to 48%. It’s well within the margin of error, but amounts to a 17 point swing for Biden in June compared to March’s polling.Roughly 7 in 10 of the voters in the GOP primaries and caucuses identified as conservative.
In each of the early states, Trump either lost or split voters with a college degree to Nikki Haley. Nor were the suburbs – where the plurality of general election voters live – particularly welcoming to him in the primary election. He split the suburban vote with his opponents in Iowa and New Hampshire and won the suburbs in South Carolina by a smaller margin than in the state as a whole.
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