China's military exercises around Taiwan are designed to deter President Lai and bolster Chinese popular support for a future war with Taiwan.
. The exercises are a reaction against new Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te’s pro-sovereignty inaugural address this week. They also seek to mobilize popular Chinese will against Taiwan’s sovereignty. The exercises likely have the additional purpose of expressing Beijing’s deep dissatisfaction with escalating Taiwan-focused exercises between the United States, Japan, and the Philippines.before this decade is out, but not in the immediate future.
Instead, the real purpose of these exercises is twofold. First, to deter Lai and Washington from taking steps that further upset Beijing. Second, to bolster the Chinese popular resolution to see Taiwan returned to compliance under Chinese Communist Party authority. To that end, theOf key note here is the desire to inculcate military personnel, in particular, with the exigency of bringing Taiwan to heel.
Still, it is telling that so much Chinese state media attention is being brought to these exercises and so much effort expended to generate a public reaction. If not today or tomorrow, Chinese President Xi Jinping is clearly preparing his people for war. And at the margin, growing Western tensions with Russia incentivize Xi to act sooner rather than later in the hope of
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