Election outlook for Tories somewhere between 'very bad' and 'very, very, very bad' says one pollster
Election outlook for Tories somewhere between 'very bad' and 'very, very, very bad' says one pollster
The view of pollsters, political scientists and Tory campaign veterans from elections past is that Mr Sunak, despite his best efforts, is on course to lead the Received wisdom among polling experts is that the Conservatives could land anywhere between 110 and 200 seats depending on how well their campaign goes, with several psephologists tellingJoe Twyman, director of Deltapoll, said that despite the noise surrounding a lot of the polls during the first full week of the campaign, stating that the “reality is all pollsters are showing no significant change from now and prior to the election”.
But Tim Bale, a political scientist at Queen Mary University of London, dismissed the chances of Mr Sunak’s Conservatives suffering such a setback in five weeks time. Both Labour and the Conservatives have been running cautious campaigns. Sir Keir Starmer, eager not to drop the ball so close to the line, is concentrating on trying show the public that the country will be in safe hands under Labour.
“When you’re coming into that environment and you’re positioning yourself as the status quo candidate, I think it’s incredibly difficult to win an election,” he added.
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