How does China really feel about Australia? Tourism may show us, as the nation and its people decide whether they'll head back Down Under in the same numbers they were pre-pandemic.
Zhang believes China has left Australia off the ADS list for now because it is imposing COVID testing requirements specifically on Chinese arrivals. Numerous experts including Benjamin Herscovitch and his ANU colleague Wen-Ti Sung, agree.However, both said the tour group debacle wasn't necessarily a sign that China and Australia's relationship was still in dangerous waters.
Data from the ABS actually shows that the growth in short-term visitor arrivals from China was starting to slow down in the years just before the pandemic, at around 120,000 a month. This might have been because the market was peaking, or because relations were souring. "Fortunately for us and for our business, the Chinese loved seafood and particularly oysters," Goc says.
"I think it'll take three to five years to get the Chinese and Hong Kong market to get to about 70 per cent of what it was," Pennicott says. Markets are still murmuring about the potential of a global recession this year. And this could impact how much its people can afford to travel overseas.a note by ANZ about the macro-economics at play recently noted.
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