Russia and Iran will downplay their losses
are obvious enough. The US, Israel and Turkey come out ahead because their long-term enemy in Damascus has lost power, while his traditional supporters – Russia, Iran and Hezbollah – have seen a crucial ally defeated.
Meanwhile, Israeli air strikes range all over Syria, from Tartus and Latakia on the Mediterranean to the outskirts of Damascus, destroying the heavy weapons of a Syrian army that has just disintegrated. Yet the undiluted nature of Israeli success can be exaggerated and, in some respects, Israel, despite its recent military successes, is a more insecure and uncertain place today than it was 18 months ago.
Supposedly, Abou Mohammed al-Golani, along with the former al-Qaeda affiliate, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham , have converted since 2016 into pluralists, tolerant of Syria’s religious and ethnic diversity.
He went to Baghdad in 2003 to fight against the American invasion and occupation, becoming a member of al-Qaeda until he was detained and imprisoned in Camp Bucca, the US-run prison camp close to the Kuwait border., playing a substantial, though somewhat uncertain, role in organising it. It was Turkey that sustained the Idlib opposition enclave, refuge to three million people on the Syrian side of the Turkish frontier.
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