Think tank: Next rate hike may only be 25 bps | Cai U. Ordinario

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Think tank: Next rate hike may only be 25 bps | Cai U. Ordinario
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The Monetary Board is expected to raise interest rates by only 25 basis points in its next policy meeting, according to a local private think tank, FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets Research. Know more:

THE Monetary Board is expected to raise interest rates by only 25 basis points in its next policy meeting, according to a local private think tank, First Metro Investment Corp.-University of Asia and the Pacific Capital Markets Research.

“Consistent with our forecast that Q1 inflation will average 8.1 percent, the Monetary Board increased policy rates by 50 bps to 6 percent in its February 16 meeting to keep inflation expectations in check, and minimize second round effects,” FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets Research said. Overall, the think tank said the Philippine economy is expected to “weather the global recession relatively unscathed” this year on the back of a positive growth in jobs and increased infrastructure spending.

Other economic indicators such as imports are expected to ease in the first quarter while exports could fall behind due to the recession. This, however, will keep the country’s trade deficits above $4 billion per month. The region’s emerging and developing economies are seen to grow 5.3 percent this year and drive the dynamism in the region. These economies, the IMF added, are hitting their stride as pandemic supply-chain disruptions fade and the service sector booms.

The IMF was also optimistic that inflation is easing and will soon go back to central bank targets. Currently, however, core inflation is “proving more persistent” than headline inflation.

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BusinessMirror /  🏆 19. in PH

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