Three theories around why Ukraine carried out audacious, high-risk incursion into Russia

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Three theories around why Ukraine carried out audacious, high-risk incursion into Russia
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Kyiv's attack on the Kursk region caught Russia and the world by surprise. What remains are questions about what Ukraine aims to achieve longer term and how Moscow might respond.

The sight of Ukrainian forces raising their flag over Russian territory is a humiliation for Vladimir Putin, but Ukraine's audacious incursion into Russia is a high-risk gamble. The shock of seeing Ukrainian soldiers make any kind of gain inside his country - even though it is armed with nuclear weapons and is a global power - will likely prompt the Russian president to order a significant response to deter others from trying.

Whatever the goal, the mission is not without significant risk. Two sources voiced concern the assault - while 'tactically smart' - could galvanise anti-Ukrainian sentiment among the Russian public and make it easier for Moscow to further mobilise its people to fight back even harder.

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