Peter Kirkham has given a grim assessment as the search for Jay continues into its 12th day
A former high-ranking officer from the Metropolitan Police believes that Jay Slater may have either fallen into a ravine, intentionally vanished or even been kidnapped.
Writing for the Mirror, he said: "In the circumstances as first reported, and in particular the last phone call he is known to have made, the most obvious theory is that Jay Slater became lost whilst trying to walk back through a remote and difficult area totally unknown to him." He continued: "A second possibility, which must always be considered, is that Jay has deliberately disappeared for some reason. As we find out more about him, it seems he has a somewhat chequered past which may well have led to his disappearance. The police will be pursuing lines of enquiry related to his background and domestic circumstances to identify if this is a viable possibility.
He continued: "The reports that Jay had left his friends and gone off with two men he had apparently just met whilst clubbing make this a possibility requiring urgent investigation. The two men who reportedly say that Jay left them in good health are the key start point here and the police in Tenerife should be prioritising investigation of this line of enquiry.
"Taken together, these three basic categories of theory cover pretty much every possibility. In order to conduct a thorough and competent investigation the police must keep an open mind and pursue lines of enquiry relating to all three of them. "This is compounded by the fact that the police do not have the technological assistance that is now almost always available to them: the area is remote with very little CCTV coverage, his mobile reportedly was about to run out of power and no known vehicle is involved so automatic number plate readers, even if they exist on the relatively few roads, cannot add much to the investigation.
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