Trump counties are recovering faster than Biden counties

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Trump counties are recovering faster than Biden counties
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  • 📰 TheEconomist
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High rates of remote work among highly educated Biden-county residents hit in­-person consumption, stunting local econ­omies and slowing job growth. The exodus from big cities hurt too

Save time by listening to our audio articles as you multitaskWhen covid-19 arrived, that employment disparity disappeared. Both sets of counties saw steep employment drops, but those that Mr Biden won were hit harder. In May 2020 employment levels were 11% lower in Biden counties than they had been in January, while Trump counties fell by 9%. Biden counties’ employment to population ratio, a measure of the share of people over the age of 16 working, fell below that of Trump counties .

What accounts for this difference? Demography, industry composition, local policies and attitudes towards covid all played a part. Biden counties were far more likely to be urban, where retaining a job often required using public transportation or huddling with colleagues. They also had a larger concentration of service work—dry cleaners and baristas were more likely to be out of a job during lockdowns.

Republicans tend to judge the economy unfavourably when Democrats are in office and vice versa—attitudes flip when administrations change over. But for all the blame Republicans have pinned on Mr Biden for today’s food and petrol prices, the familiar story about left-behind America needs an update.

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