Elections are a referendum on incumbents. And what happened to Trump means that the American people will be looking at him first and foremost to see how he responds now.
Former President Donald Trump and the Republicans have an opportunity, indeed their first opportunity, to fundamentally change the presidential race in ways that would have been hard to do before Saturday’s tragic assassination attempt on a former president.
The one thing that has been clear in the polling so far this year is that the race has been relatively breaking for Trump, as the former president has maintained a lead for the last eight or nine months. Yes, there is an occasional poll that shows a tie or Biden with a slight lead, but fundamentally, Trump has held steady 2-3 points above Biden nationally, and an even larger lead in the key swing states.
Make no mistake, elections are a referendum on incumbents. And what happened to Trump means that the American people will be looking at Trump and looking to him first and foremost to see how he responds on the biggest stage of all to address the horrific events of last Saturday. As an American, I very much hope that the Republicans do not do what some have done and continue to blame the Democrats.
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