Craig vs Borralho odds for UFC 301 betting. Picks and predictions for Craig vs Borralho on 5-1-2024.
"The Nautral" Caio Borralho's undefeated record in the UFC is one of many reasons he's favored so heavily over Paul Craig, but our UFC picks see value in the veteran underdog.
Craig has dropped three of his last four bouts, but this is a guy with 17 fights in the promotion and has shown the ability to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Craig has picked up upset wins against Magomed Ankalaev, Jamahal Hill, Nikita Krylov, and most recently, Andre Muniz when he put him to sleep in his middleweight debut last summer.
We've seen Borralho get into extended grappling exchanges with Michal Oleksiejczuk, Armen Petrosyan, Makhmud Muradov, and Gadzhi Omargadzhiev. While Borralho's grappling and control were on another level than those guys, he'll be playing with fire if he utilizes that game plan against a BJJ specialist like Craig.
Craig has been subbed twice and knocked out four times in the UFC, and his chin could be even more compromised now that he's cutting down to 185 pounds. However, he also has a 100% finish rate himself, with all 17 of his career wins coming inside the distance .
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