UK 'could see 50,000 cases a day by mid-October'

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“For every home across Northern Ireland there will be no mixing of households indoors” Northern Ireland First Minister Arlene Foster says “doing nothing was not an option” as she announces new Covid-19 restrictions

Prof Whitty added that if cases continued to double every seven days as Sir Patrick had set out, then the UK could"quickly move from really quite small numbers to really very large numbers because of that exponential process".Prof Whitty and Sir Patrick also said:

The rising transmission is a serious"six-month problem that we have to deal with collectively" - but science will eventually"ride to our rescue"It is possible"that some vaccine could be available before the end of the year in small amounts for certain groups" but"the first half of next year" is much more likely

Even among the government's own advisers there is disagreement over whether what we are seeing is the start of an exponential rise or just a gradual increase in cases, which is what you would expect at this time of year as respiratory viruses tend to circulate more with the reopening of society. A couple of things are in our favour that were not in the spring. Better treatments for those who get very sick are now available, while the government is in a stronger position to protect the vulnerable groups.

He said mortality rates from Covid-19 were"significantly greater" than seasonal flu, which killed around 7,000 annually or 20,000 in a bad year. Welsh Health Minister Vaughan Gething added:"It may be the case that UK-wide measures will be taken but that will require all four governments to exercise our varying share of power and responsibility to do so."Meanwhile, Health Secretary Matt Hancock

The prime minister is not about to tell everyone to stay at home as he did from the Downing Street desk in March.Nor, right now, are they planning to tell every business, other than the non-essential, to close again.Read more from Laura here.

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