The best Western equipment is now showing up in the field
. But its shape is gradually becoming clearer. One axis points east, at the area around the bloodily contested town of Bakhmut and in Luhansk province. Another aims south and south-east from Vuhledar in Donetsk province. The third is perhaps the most important. On June 8th it became apparent thathad launched a major southward assault in Zaporizhia province, which forms the central part of the war’s long frontline. It looks like the biggest one yet.
There are some early signs that the attack in Zaporizhia differs from those in the east and south. One is the scale and intensity of the Ukrainian assault. Another is the equipment that is being used. Drone images published by Russian media appear to show German Leopard tanks, including the most advanced 2113 armoured personnel carriers in Mala Tokmachka, a village to the east of Orikhiv.
The point of such defences is not to halt an attack, but to channel it into certain areas and slow it down so it can be struck and broken up. Wargames conducted by Ukraine’s allies, last year and more recently, showed that any advance on Melitopol would be difficult and costly: Ukraine’s flanks would be exposed to Russian attacks and Russia’s air force could use long-range “glide bombs” to attack advancing columns.
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