Get ready for Day 12 of Copa America 2024 with our USA vs Uruguay prediction and same-game parlay picks and analysis for Monday, July 1.
Darwin Nunez can never piece it together for Liverpool, but he's a scoring machine when he plays for Uruguay. Our Copa America 2024 picks expect that to continue against Team USA.
As such, I began thinking about how Marcelo Bielsa might rotate. After all, they defeated Bolivia 5-0 and surely have no reason to risk some of their top players, given they’re set up so well with tiebreakers. But then I remembered one key fact: Marcelo Bielsa doesn’t like to rotate players, and that means Darwin Nunez will likely start.
Nunez has scored two goals from 12 shots over the first two matches, with five of those being on target. He’s come away with at least 0.8 xG in both outings and has now scored in seven straight matches for Uruguay, including friendlies, with a total of 10 goals in that span. I’d bet him to score at even money as I did against Bolivia, so there’s no way I’m passing him up at +200 odds. Race to Betano and take Nunez to score before his price comes down. With his team needing to win, all eyes fall on “Captain America” to save the day — and possibly manager Gregg Berhalter’s job. For bettors, that means an opportunity to hit one of his props at plus odds.
In fact, the matches against Colombia and Panama are the only times in his last six national team appearances he’s failed to attempt at least three shots. And with Weah’s suspension, he’ll be looked upon even more to create opportunities for the Americans. That’s why I’m taking him to attempt at least three shots for his best prop.
Bielsa employs a pressing style Uruguay are thriving under, and one the Americans tend to struggle with. The USMNT has shown issues with bad turnovers in this tournament, much as they did against Colombia, as they were overwhelmed and punished for it.
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