We’re Living Through the Twilight of the Resistance Historian

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We’re Living Through the Twilight of the Resistance Historian
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Should Biden drop out? There’s not much in the American past that can tell us.

, I have no argument to make regarding whether Joe Biden should step down as president and/or as the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee. Since everybody else already has that question fully sorted out, with bulletproof if-then scenarios, strategies and tactics, and projections for results, I’m free to focus on other matters.

Related matters, though. I’ve been writing for years in opposition to professional historians pressing—on the public, on the media, on politicians and judges—a sense of the hyperurgent political relevance of certain facts and narratives drawn from the historians’ own scholarship. The phenomenon was already smoldering in certain historians’ adoration of.

Before considering whether any of that makes political sense and, more important to me, has anything to do with whatever lessons may be drawn from the history of presidential campaigns, it’s worth noting that much of the negative reaction to Richardson’s statement has to be coming from people who simply want Biden replaced. These are people who are not, as I am, criticizing an entire approach to centering U.S.

While we’re coming up with patterns, consider the flipside. An incumbent’s declining to seek another term has not always led to failure for his party’s nominee. George Washington decided not to serve a third term; his vice president, John Adams, won the presidency. U.S. Grant was hoping for a third term; as Richardson knows better than most, when Grant decided against running, his party’s nominee, Rutherford B. Hayes, prevailed in one of the nastiest elections in our history.

Or, on the flip-flipside, you can say that, in stark distinction to the irrelevant examples of ’52 and ’68, replacing Bidenlikelihood of loss than Humphrey’s or Stevenson’s. You can say anything you want: Everyone who studies the past seriously, and that certainly includes Richardson, knows there’s no way to legitimately deploy history to arrive at anything like the flat, ironclad, if-then prediction she made on CNN, especially in the ever-changing crucible that is U.S.

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