Week 1 NFL picks: Evaluating the Houston offense, Jets/49ers, WR props and more

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Week 1 NFL picks: Evaluating the Houston offense, Jets/49ers, WR props and more
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A Cowboys upset? Big day for Texans WRs? Ben Solak evaluates the lines and offers his picks and props for Week 1.

Ben Solak joined ESPN in 2024 as a national NFL analyst. He previously covered the NFL at The Ringer, Bleeding Green Nation and The Draft Network.

It's worth noting that, in general, Stroud was far better against zone than man coverage. So, if you're worried about Collins' target share getting carved by Dell and Diggs, you can just look at Stroud's passing props. At 274.5 yards , Stroud's passing line is the highest available in Week 1. The better edge belongs to Collins, who has so much explosive play potential that he will not need high volume to get over a line of 69.5.

I like the way this Colts offense matches up with the Texans defense, and specifically the way Steichen matches up with DeMeco Ryans. I expect fourth-down conversions, touchdown drives and plenty of big plays -- enough for us to get over a 48.5 total.Andrew Hawkins, Mike Greenberg and Jeff Saturday express concern about Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb's readiness to face the Browns after holding out of training camp.

Much like the Collins question above, we have to ask ourselves, if we trust the passing game here so much, should we look for a quarterback prop or a wide receiver prop? Just as Collins was so good last season against the Colts' defensive approach, so too was Lamb against the Browns' preferred style of play. Look at Lamb's splits last season against single-high coverages and two-high coverages.will start at center.

But the Browns are pot committed on making the Watson trade and contract work on the field, so they're running Watson's preferred offense. However, it didn't work well last season, and I'm unconvinced it will work this season.were unable to last season, but we're still banking on development from Jeudy, who has still never had more than 1,000 yards in a season.

Most defenses are forced to play left-handed against the 49ers' offensive personnel, as San Francisco can play in 21 personnel and force opposing defenses into heavier personnel, then pass the football out of those traditional run looks. But with Mosley, Williams and the recently extended nickelbackfilling out the second level, the Jets can line up in nickel against any 49ers look and still survive.

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