Donald Trump came close to direct war with Iran during his first term in office - while his record of unpredictability is a challenge for Washington's closest allies, in particular for fellow members of the NATO alliance.
Donald Trump said he would end Russia's war in Ukraine if he returned to the White House - but any rushed deal will likely leave Kyiv much weaker and European security in even greater peril. Another major flashpoint a Trump presidency will immediately seek to influence is the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel. Mr Trump came close to direct war with Tehran during his first term in office and prior restraint could well give way to direct confrontation this time around.
Yet - coupled with Ukraine's willingness to fight - that military aid is the biggest reason why Ukraine has managed to withstand almost 1,000 days of Vladimir Putin's war. Stop the flow of American weapons, and Ukrainian troops - despite their own ingenuity and the support of other allies - will simply lack the firepower to keep resisting the onslaught.
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