Alexander Lukashenko has chosen no successor and the opposition in exile hopes his death would bring about a democratic opening
, spends much of his time inspecting factories, scrutinising harvests and presiding over ice-hockey matches. For nearly a week in May he did none of those things—or anything else in public, fuelling intense speculation about his health. The moustachioed former collective-farm boss has governed Belarus since 1994. He has responded to growing opposition with increasing repression.
Belarus’s constitution outlines the formal process in the event of Mr Lukashenko’s death. A presidential election would probably be called between 30 and 70 days later. The speaker of the upper house of parliament, Natalya Kochanova, a trusted footsoldier of Mr Lukashenko’s, would govern in the interim.
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