'Assuming they do not escalate further, it’s tempting to think the protests haven’t had any significant impact. That would be a mistake,' writes William Hurst (wjhurst)
Hurst is the Chong Hua Professor of Chinese Development at University of Cambridgeover the last ten days, many have sought to understand the state’s response, any impact this wave of mobilization might have on Chinese politics, and how things might evolve in the coming weeks. It is still very early days and prediction is dangerous, but we can begin to draw some basic lessons.
China’s current contentious coalition is fragile, and already it seems that disparate agendas have started to unravel—likely prefiguring a return to separate spheres of mobilization around labour disputes, campus issues, urban governance, and other concerns that the government finds easier to address and control individually.
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