Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has died in a helicopter crash, according to state media. Here's how his death might contribute to instability in Iran and the region.For sponsor-free episodes of Consider This, sign up for Consider This+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Email us at [email protected].
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has died in a helicopter crash, according to state media. Here's how his death might contribute to instability in Iran and the region.
As a protégé of the country's supreme leader, Raisi was seen as a potential successor. But his sudden death has created uncertainty at a time when tensions in the region are already high. Iran and Israel have traded missile and drone strikes, and Iranian proxies continue to wage low-grade war with Israel as the war in Gaza continues.Raisi's death will probably not cause instability within Iran, but it does raise questions about Iran's political succession, Sadjadpour says.
"Iran has a highly conspiratorial political culture," Sadjadpour said."I think few people will probably believe this was just an accident." Sadjadpour predicts some will blame Israel, the U.S. or Ayatollah Khamenei. In the longer term, Sadjadpour predicts Raisi's death will"hasten Iran's transition to a more overt military government, or, frankly, hasten the implosion of a regime which is, in my view, deeply unpopular and unsustainable."For now, Sadjadpour thinks Iran will turn its attention inward to maintain stability and calm during the presidential transition.
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