Why asset managers fear buying bonds could make them look stupid; Jerome Powell to keep raising

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Why asset managers fear buying bonds could make them look stupid; Jerome Powell to keep raising
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There’s a limit to how silly professional investors can look, and having lost huge amounts of money on their bond portfolios, they are hesitant to buy more.

Asset managers and bankers know that their careers will probably survive one major investment blunder. But it’s curtains if they make the same mistake a second time.sidelines of the bond market

In particular, bond prices were supposed to rebound, after the US bond market suffered its worst year on record in 2022, with Bloomberg’s US Aggregate Index recording a 13 per cent slump. Instead, the index is down more than 3 per cent so far this year on a total return basis.Last week alone, the US 10-year bond yield jumped 30 basis points to 4.93 per cent, after

And investors could also demand higher yields if they expect the growing US budget deficit means the US government will be forced to issue more bonds, shifting the balance between supply and demand. According to the Fed’s Survey of Consumer Finances, American families enjoyed the biggest jump in their wealth on record between 2019 and 2022, as they benefited from soaring equity markets and rising house prices, and massive government relief packages.

The problem for many asset managers is that they became overly accustomed to minimal bond yields since the 2007-08 financial crisis ushered in more than a decade of ultra-low interest rates. Now, logic says that if investment managers and bankers were eagerly buying at a 4 per cent yield, they should be buying even more vigorously at 4.93 per cent.

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